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China Is Cracking – Real Estate Is Tumbling and “Maybe” Some People Won’t Be Able to Leave the Country

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China Is Cracking – Real Estate Is Tumbling and “Maybe” Some People Won’t Be Able to Leave the Country.

What a nightmare.

China’s economy was praised as the model for the Western world. Then, a few years back, it began to turn sour.  President Trump’s first administration did a number on China, which is why they wanted him gone.  This alone may be why China was involved in the COVID outbreak in 2019-20 (as reported in the book, The Steal – Volume I: Setting the Stage).

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In 2023, the world began to see China’s economy falter.  We reported on a report at the Business Insider.

It’s been clear for years that the Chinese real-estate market has been in trouble. China has a population of 1.4 billion, but it has built housing for a population of 3 billion, according to expert estimates. Many of the mega-developments became empty monuments to Beijing’s insatiable desire for growth. In Shenyang, farmers have taken over a development of empty mansions for cattle grazing.

At that time, real estate giant Evergrand began reporting problems, and it finally dissolved a few years ago.

China’s Evergrande Files for Bankruptcy – World Economy in Dangerous Shape

Now the value of real estate in China is collapsing to its lowest prices in at least the last 20 years.

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In response, the government instituted a law saying that it will not allow some people to leave the country, maybe.

🚨 China Just Made “Maybe” a Crime. Now Everyone Is a Flight Risk.

Beijing has quietly redrawn the line between citizen and suspect, and it did it with a single word.

Under China’s new Regulations on Exit and Entry Administration, effective September 15 but already being trialed at some ports, one term appears again and again: “may.” Not “did.” Not “will.” May. If an official decides you “may endanger national security, interests, industrial security, or technical security,” you can be barred from leaving the country. Nowhere does the text define what “may endanger” actually means.

That vagueness is the point. The power to stop you at the border has been pushed all the way down the chain, provincial governments, the Commerce Ministry, even county-level offices can now decide who flies and who stays. As geopolitics scholar Chen Wen-chia puts it: you’re no longer flagged for what you did, but for what someone imagines you might do.

This is the machinery of a paranoid state, jumping at its own shadow. China has flipped its legal logic from punishing crimes after the fact to preventing exit before anything happens. State firms are reportedly already tightening travel approvals for staff. Those labeled a “threat” abroad can be blocked from leaving for six months to three years after they return.

Why now? Because the regime is scared. With the economy sagging and public anger simmering, Beijing fears its own people voting with their feet, and fears even more what they say when they come back. Engineers in semiconductors, AI, and finance should read the fine print: you may be next on the watchlist.

The message to 1.4 billion people is chillingly simple: the door is closing, and no one will tell you why. (Aric’s note: Regarding China’s current population, some analyses and experts believe it is far smaller than the official figures claim, though the actual data remains unclear.)

If you’re planning to leave China, understand the rules before they understand you.

ACI — Aric Chen | Insights

Editor’s note: The video is a related news segment from the World News I anchor.

Anyone not paying off a mortgage that is higher than the related property it’s tied to in China will now “maybe” not be allowed to leave the country.

147 thoughts on “China Is Cracking – Real Estate Is Tumbling and “Maybe” Some People Won’t Be Able to Leave the Country”

  2. Get on youtube and type in 'China Observer'. That is all the news the MSM DOES NOT WANT YOU TO KNOW ABOUT.

    China is collapsing IN ALL SECTORS. Everyday, they upload two or three new news videos and life over there is horrific. The US EMBASSY is jammed with people in line TRYING to get out.

    China has made it VERY DIFFICULT to even get a passport. Now, MANY PEOPLE ARE BEING DENIED EXIT on the most st up id of reasons. They all know what's coming. TOTAL LOCKDOWN AND CONTROL BY THE CCP.

    • Thank Obama. Thank you state governor for signing the bills that added hundreds of mandates every year for the last decade. Look close to home as that's what's driving costs. Toss in the lawsuits for garbage. Deal with it people get sick and die. Not everyone can be saved. It's not the doc's fault.

      Wonder why, when you get a bill, it comes with 4-5 extra pages of crap? Mandates by your state. YOU pay for the extra paper, printing, processing, stuffing, postage. That's not greed that's the idiots in your state house doing that. You have zero idea how much crap they push down every year. Call them and tell them to take out 10 for every new one they pass. They will just laugh and laugh at you.

      • Add all the expanded medicaid/medicare fraud due to obama care and the dem 'ear marks' for NGOs for buddies.

        The national debt is probably equal to the amount of fraud accumulated since the Clinton admin. IOW, the amount of fraud is equal to the amount of debt added since the Clinton admin. Not that there wasn't fraud then or before, it's just that most reps in Congress has been there for 30-45 years, and they've perfected the buddy run NGO scams.

    • As Japan's former Prime Minister said, if Beijing ever invades Taiwan, they will commit economic suicide. Virtually EVERY other country will stop trading with China. (Beijing killed Abe for saying that.)

      • Many believe that war boosts the economy which in the short term it does BUT in reality it's just a temporary sugar high and a long-term economic disaster.

      • I LOVED PM Abe!!!! Just dang it!!!!!!!
        He SMOKED merkel ON CAMERA in front of GOD and EVERYONE!!!

        "LISTEN, c**t, LAST TIME we listened TO YOU-we GOT NUKED-TWICE!!!!"

        THAT, really actually happened ON CAMERA, live, I HAVE IT!!!!!!!!

      • If they attacked Taiwan all Taiwan or their allies has to do is take out the 3 Gorges Dam. The flood from a destroyed dam would inundate Wuhan, Nanjing, and Shanghai destroying the industrial heart of China and killing millions of Chinese. The cities have approximately 50,000,000 residents. This would do more damage to China than stopping trade.

        • Blowing up 3 Gorges is not in the cards. The CCP would start launching nukes. With one more abnormally heavy rainy season, the 3 Gorges will eventually collapse in on itself due to lax/rushed communist construction methods.

      • They have the manpower, been hoarding oil for years and are practicing off shore from Taiwan. What isn't known is if all the weapons they like to show off in parades actually work.

      • Going to and sustaining one are different.
        Yuge stockpiles of weapons at the start.
        Burn through them well then it's a problem. Like here we have long lead times.

    • Oh that's going to happen figuratively and literally. The 3 gorges is sinking and will fail. When it does millions will die and Atlas Xi will shrug.

  11. As an a/v geekster SINCE eight years old, in the analog era, I remember the tech name "NIDEC" VERY well, back to the end of the 60's, that factory in China is GONE!!! THE first ONE-thanks TO kissinger and Nixon.
    That's LIKE Lockheed leaving America and resettling in Japan. Permanently

    "NIDEC" makes EVERY ONE of the LITTLE motors in EVERYTHING you're EVER owned, home appliances, tape decks, military gear, commercial tools/equipment, ALL of it. MY first time was 1970 and my Philips reel to reel when it was serviced for bearings and belts.

    And then the weather in 2026, China has NO choice, they can invade and wage economic war or WINK OUT of existence…. (CCP)

    We ALL KNOW what's coming.

    • If you focused this rambling it might go somewhere.
      Just sayin'
      Stolen elections have consequences.

  12. ALL Chinese should not be able to leave the country and they should gladly take back the ones that have.

  14. Their commercial real estate market is also in trouble. Build it and hope they will come is not a rational strategy.

  16. BS WITH THIS 11D CHESS. THE AMERICAN FATTED COW IS BROKE SO WE ARE NOT FEEDING THE WORLD. OUR CREDIT IS SHATTERED AND WE CANT EVEN BORROW MONEY TO PAY OUR ENEMIES NOT TO BEAT US UP.
    HOW LONG DID THE WORLD THINK THEY COULD BE THE BLOOD FILLED PARASITE STRANGLING AMERICA PROSPERITY BEFORE WE THE HOST KEELED OVER BROKE WEAK AND NEAR DEATH?

    BILLIONAIRES AREA DIME A DOZEN……WHERE DO YOU THINK THAT MONEY COMES FROM? IT AINT THE CHINESE ECONOMY.

  17. One problem with the article: China does not have 1.4 billion people. Several demographers say they have less than a billion people. Probably true. What number coming out of China is true?

    • The article did mention this.
      (Aric’s note: Regarding China’s current population, some analyses and experts believe it is far smaller than the official figures claim, though the actual data remains unclear.)

    • They use to say over 2 billion.
      Then it was reduced.

      Now post one child policy with the loss of hundreds of millions of women (Like India they have a boy preference and kill and abort girls at horrific rates) they are out of balance M/F Vs. Nature by a number of percentage points. So they have a massive male surplus that is growing angry and disillusioned as there are no women for them. Ever. Hundreds of millions of Incels.

      There is no way they have the population numbers they claim. Toss that in the empty city calculation it's much higher sitting empty. Making the economics even worse.

        • And a major reason that nations with excess males go to war.

          Not only for conquest of new females, resources, treasure and power, but also to reduce the number of males.

      • They rescinded the one child policy at least a decade too late to recover to a M-F balance for at least 2 generations.

  19. No USAID to help support them. Their democrat supporter would never use their own money to help support them.

  21. But just like 2 months ago, the GP was talking about how Trump, Xi and Putin were a heroic trio standing up against globalism. What a crock

    • Yes they do, but at this point, the ccp and their belt and road initative, have angered many of the signers…
      Nations who are in debt to them, and seen the grift, have started to default…
      Without allowing the ccp to recoup, unless the communist use force.
      This is also cutting the access to the resources (rare Earth and other) and locations (for military) they desired.
      Hopefully this allows too many fronts for them to start much of a ruckus.
      And, hopefully they realize any warring actin in Tiawan, could destroy the value they seek from it.
      But then there is the desperation…
      Not losing face for the ccp is a big deal…
      xi failing is going to be a huge hurt for the party.

  26. The 2X overbuilding they have done, is financed through manipulation of their own system.
    Practically none of the debt for the infrastructure and overbuilds show up on the government books.
    This is how they claim to be doing MUCH better than they are.
    Much like some fo the US States do in their budgets to claim a balanced budget…
    They put the big debts out for years to be brought back in later…under another leaders term.
    Communist ways are communist ways, no matter who initiates them.

    • Many are now left holding the empty bag and will want to get paid. They don't understand basic economics and will riot in the streets as they lost everything.

  28. For the lame and the Xi trolls here is what Trump did to you. He took your discounted oil away. You are now paying full price for oil and Pooh is running out of other peoples money very fast.

    Good news his term as dictator for life will end with a .22 round behind his ear before too much longer. He has failed and brought disgrace to the country. You have lost face on the world stage. You are a joke. You not feared you are mocked openly. You are the but of the jokes told.

    Even a 6 year old could understand that building empty cities like soldiers of clay will not bring you salvation only mockery and scorn. Next the people will rise up and you will have to gun them down again like the fascist impotent scum you are.

  31. SIMPLEST SOLUTION to CHINA'S PREDICATE is to TAKE ALL ILLEGALS from ALL COUNTRIES in the WORLD INTO CHINA.

  36. I've seen population estimates of 800 million, even 500 million. Tons of schools & daycare closing. Those cremation ovens burned 24/7 during covid, yet the govt reported deaths of a few thousand.

    • It was the one child policy and the loss of hundreds of millions of women. Birth rates fell to near zero levels even after they demanded they produce more kids. They couldn't afford to have kids. Add in the boy preference you abort kill tens of millions more girls. No magic formula to fix it.

      Well you could go the Biden route and let all of the N. Koreans in but they will want to eat.

  37. Hiring 1 million men to dig holes in the ground and another million to follow them to fill in the holes they dug creates a lot of economic activity without increasing the Nation's productivity …. That is China …. an 800 million person Nation that can't tell the truth about how many Chinese live in China to themselves …. They lie … and cornered liars are dangerous

  41. So in the US we have a massive homeless issue while in China they have more houses than they know what to do with.

  44. There is a not-to-be-mentioned war going on with China right now, a round two fueled by what China did to the US, from covid to funding terrorism to funding mass illegal invasion to funding Democrat communism to funding trans and black rioting. Trump's actions in Venezuela, Iran, Cuba, Mexico and Greenland are all aimed directly at Xi. This is Trump showing Xi what happens when you F with us.

    • Unless he uses it to cover up his failures at home.
      I busted Trump on WEEK ONE of the "escalation"
      This war is not about Iran and Israel.
      God Almighty himself doesn't want peace there.
      Trump is gambling on bringing down Chairman Xi
      with petrochemical interdiction.
      THE STENCH OF WWIII LINDSEY………
      Chinese toymakers have already gone belly up
      and the garment industry is next.
      But he's burning through trillions of dollars
      of high powered defense ordinanance.
      LOOK AT THE TEN YEAR TREASURY AUCTIONS.
      Watch them every week.
      Donald Trump has a history of BANKRUPTCIES.
      Will we go into default trying to topple this regime?
      What about his promises to the people who put him in office?
      If Trump fails here, he is effectively "CONTROLLED OPPOSITION"
      How about let's let the young blood in, hmmm?
      Eighty is too old for the hardest job in the world.
      What this country needs is ten years of JD Vance.
      Stay vigilant, patriot.
      Be aware and be prepared.
      WTSHTF ain't gonna be pretty,
      But I don't see any way to stop it now.
      Stolen elections have consequences.

  45. China Puts on a Good Fake Show about China! They're Not supposed to Tell or Show you How bad they're doing – they see that as exposing their weaknesses. But they're doing bad. That means they're Desperate. And they will ramp up their EVIL WAYS – any way they can!

  50. The Godless filth have zero right to impede people's movement. That said, we don't need more people here.

  51. GREAT! Keep 'em! We're already at more than our limit! Not a bad thing…. And call back the ones who are here to help out their country!!!!

  52. This past year, the Chinese government has been heavily investigating high level bankers, and government officials (past and present) to determine if they were involved with fraud against the government money policies. Fraud/money skimming, has been prevalent since early Chinese emperors. Kind of sounds like what is happening to the American taxpayers via some other third world aliens such as the sambolies and haitians with the probable help from elected officials

  53. Good—–a fraudulent "economy" propped up by accounting alchemy—-bolsheviks are still the dumbest peeps on earth—-that foolish place (still a frontier economy, not even an emerging economy) has been carried for nearly 60 yrs by The West—-for cheap labor, and to make sure the bolshevik boogeyman stays somewhat close to front page news—-Meanwhile, their filthy illbegotten lucre has helped greatly, in funding the destruction of Sleepy America—Unreal—-the level of mediocrity in play, that's actually succeeding in it's goal….

  54. 1.4 billion. Maybe 750 million they have a disappearing population problem. As many times as they mentioned that figure it seems they are trying to convince us. Like the Communist Democratic party they never tell the truth

  55. Meanwhile, all democrats want to install communism in the US. When they do this they will do what communists always do when they take over… murder everyone who isn't a communist. Then the rank-and-file democrats will be stuffed into the proletariat and be consigned to the breadlines and have their equal misery.

  57. Trump's tariffs are working.
    China is hurting.
    Let me rephrase that.
    The Chinese people are hurting, not the ruling elitist communist party members.
    Ruling elites NEVER suffer.

  59. Many People have No where to Live in China their Homes were washed away, the People who were able to escape the Floods that is.

  62. Socialist/communists have to build walls to keep people in. Capitalists have to build walls to keep people out. Just about sums it up.

  63. There's been an overage of buildings for over a decade now with people who know very little saying China's in ruins or nearly for over a decade.
    We, on the other hand, have houses that most people can't afford.
    China could help their economy out by selling all of those US Treasuries they own. That wouldn't be good for the US.
    I don't know what the obsession is with all these foreign countries other than promoting hate. GP gets 5 gold stars for that.
    How about telling everybody how bad of shape the USA is in Hoft. Have you ever even been to any of these countries you love to bash? Americans in China say things are pretty good there; like all countries they have economic problems too. I've yet to hear doom & gloom. Their ev's are excellent and many are under $10k. What's the price we pay for cars? Many are as much as the house I bought in 1989.

  64. 5000 years of chinese history just to adopt Soviet communism as their religion….Lol!….

    Real genius's……

  66. We have a housing shortage in America and China has too many empty housing units. Offer Democrats, Socialists, Illegals, and the alphabet cult a one way plane ticket to China where they can have a new house, socialist/ communist ideology, and let America move on without their whining

  68. This is the way it always ends up. We have people in this country willing to be dragged into that. You can vote your way in but our grandchildren will have to shoot their way out.

  69. China made the same mistake the Soviet Union did. They bet their whole economy on communism winning out over Capitalism. And now they're coming apart at the seams. China is doomed. Only a matter of time before all hell breaks loose over there. It'll happen suddenly, and most will be taken by surprise by it when it happens and it won't be pretty.

  70. Due to decades of "One-Child" policy, and the Chinese cultural preference for baby boys, the country is now overpopulated with 10's of millions (possibly over a 100 million) young men who cannot find a wife or girlfriend. Think of the societal frustration and rage this is is causing. Now having said that, if you're the CCP and you want to direct this growing societal malice away from yourself, what do you do with these millions of angry, fighting-aged males? Answer: You point them at an external target – Namely Taiwan and possibly other neighbors, because a huge war tends to rapidly reduce the angry young, male population, captures desperately needed economic wealth (but only if you win without destroying everything of value), boosts the economy via weapons manufacture and logistics procurement, and finally, it provides the political "emergency" required to lock down any-and-all political opposition (e.g., Anyone who opposes the govt. during wartime is a traitor and will suffer a traitor's fate). I give it about 6 or 7 more years before the balloon goes up. Hug your children – esp. if you have young, draft-age sons.

  71. We have heard about the real estate market in China being a disaster and the economy being in deep trouble for some time. Yet China is still a major player globally and all this talk about the Chinese economy has not stopped the Chinese from trying to conquer the world. So far, they seem to be making a lot of progress undermining the US by supporting radical groups, riots and protests, corrupt politicians in congress and corruption throughout the US state legislative systems. It was reported that they had retired high level military members to China trying to get them to promote the Chinese. The harassment going on against Taiwan has not stopped. Until Chinese policies and leadership change, the state of the Chinese economy means little.

  74. This "Iran war" is not about Iran and Israel.
    God Almighty himself doesn't want peace there.
    I busted Trump on WEEK ONE of this "escalation".
    Trump is gambling on bringing down Chairman Xi
    with petrochemical interdiction.
    THE STENCH OF WWIII LINDSEY………
    Chinese toymakers have already gone belly up
    and the garment industry is next.
    But he's burning through trillions of dollars
    of high powered defense ordinanance.
    LOOK AT THE TEN YEAR TREASURY AUCTIONS.
    Watch them every week.
    Donald Trump has a history of BANKRUPTCIES.
    Will we go into default trying to topple this regime?
    What about his promises to the people who put him in office?
    If Trump fails here, he is effectively "CONTROLLED OPPOSITION"
    How about let's let the young blood in, hmmm?
    Eighty is too old for the hardest job in the world.
    What this country needs is ten years of JD Vance.
    Stay vigilant, PATRIOTS.
    Be aware and be prepared.
    WTSHTF ain't gonna be pretty,
    But I don't see any way to stop it now.
    Stolen elections have consequences.

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