Speaker Ryan Lied – Said Trump Had Plurality but Didn’t Have Majority!

Also posted at www.thegatewaypundit.com

Yesterday Republican Speaker of the House Paul Ryan told Jake Tapper on CNN he was “not ready” to endorse Donald Trump and then right after that said that the bulk of the burden to unite the party was on the nominee (Trump).

Ryan then said –

“I don’t want to underplay what he (Trump) accomplished. He needs to be congratulated for an enormous accomplishment for winning now a plurality of delegates and he’s on his way to winning a majority of delegates.”

This was a lie. Trump not only holds a plurality of delegates to date, he also holds a majority of delegates to date as well!

According to data at thegreenpapers.com Trump currently leads all candidates with 1057 delegates. There have only been 2029 delegates related to the states with primaries and caucuses to date. Based on this, Trump has not only won a plurality (more delegates than anyone of his competitors) but he has also won a majority of delegates from state caucuses and primaries to date with more than 52% of the delegates awarded to date.

All the other candidates combined have only won a combined 916 delegates to date. There also have been another 56 delegates to date that are either not committed or unallocated. By winning more delegates than any one of his competitors Trump has won a plurality. By winning more than 50% of the delegates Trump has won a majority.  Trump also needs only 36% of the remaining delegates after Indiana to win the nomination (per data from greenpapers).

Not only did Speaker Ryan not endorse Trump and then place the blame for not uniting the party on Trump, but he lied about Trump’s current standing in the election by stating Trump did not have a majority.

What a piece of work!

Why Cruz Suspended His Campaign? – The Numbers Don’t Lie

Ted Cruz suspended his campaign after Tuesday’s Indiana primary. When you look at numbers it is clear that Ted was done.

After Trump swept the last 7 primaries it was over for Cruz. Donald Trump now has 1047 delegates; Cruz has 565 with 520 remaining. Trump now has a clear road to the nomination. A comparison between the top two contenders in each party show that Trump is far ahead of all candidates and Cruz was clearly in a position to step out of the race.

Of Trump, Cruz, Sanders and Hillary –

 

** Trump leads all candidates with 24 primary wins (Cruz has 4)
** Trump leads in states won with 27
** Trump has the highest percentage of primary wins (86%)
** Trump has the highest percent of overall state wins (69%)
** Trump has the highest percent of primary delegates (73%)
** Trump has the highest percent of overall delegates (65%)
** And Trump leads with the highest percent of overall votes (59%)

 Delegate Count 5-4 Rep and Dem after Indiana

 

Charts by Joe Hoft (data from RealClearPolitics)

(Note although not noted at RealClearPolitics.com caucus wins for Cruz in Colorado, Wyoming and North Dakota, Sanders in Maine, Alaska and Washington and Hillary in Iowa and Nevada were added to these results. These states show no winners currently in the RCP data. If these caucus wins were not added to the data, Trump would be even further ahead in the areas mentioned above.)

Overall Trump continues to outshine all the candidates while competing against 16 primary opponents. Cruz was clearly at the dropping out point.

To date, the Democratic race has been tighter than the Republican race based on wins and delegates. (However, the Democrats also have super delegates which are highly in Hillary’s favor at 520 to 39 for Sanders which are not included in these totals.)

Hillary has now lost Rhode Island last week and Indiana yesterday to Socialist Sanders in the past two weeks. Some pundits were calling for Bernie to step out of the race as he was mathematically eliminated last week, but now he has momentum heading into the upcoming primaries in May and June. And of course, Hillary could be indicted any time between now and November which is a good reason for Bernie to stay in the race.

 

After Indiana Bernie Sanders has a Case for Staying in the Race – Ted Cruz Does Not

As we face today’s Indiana’s primary election, both Bernie Sanders and Ted Cruz are staying in the Presidential race for their respective party nominations but really only Sanders has a legitimate reason to stay in. When looking at numbers from Real Clear Politics going into today’s primary, Sanders has won 17 states, including Rhode Island last week to Hillary Clinton’s 23 states. Cruz has only won 12 states and only 4 primaries compared to Donald Trump’s 26 states and 23 primaries. Also, Cruz hasn’t won a primary since Wisconsin a month ago.

Delegate Count 5-3 Rep and Dem b4 Indiana

(Note although not noted at RealClearPolitics.com caucus wins for Cruz in Colorado, Wyoming and North Dakota, Sanders in Maine, Alaska and Washington and Hillary in Iowa and Nevada were added to these results. These states show no winners currently in the RCP data. If these caucus wins were not added to the data, Trump would be even further ahead in the areas mentioned above. Also, the above data does not include Democratic super delegate votes which are highly in Hillary’s favor at 520 to 39 for Sanders.)

To date, the Democratic race between Sanders and Hillary Clinton has been tighter than the Republican race between Cruz and Trump based on wins, delegates and votes.

Cruz has said that Donald Trump will not reach the 1,237 delegates needed to win the Republican nomination, but Trump is up in the polls in Indiana with a RCP average of 11%. With Trump winning the past 6 states and Indiana today, Cruz’s case is very weak and he should consider stepping out of the race.

On the other hand, Sanders has every reason to stay in the race with Hillary Clinton up only 6.8% in Indiana and the gap closing. But more importantly, Clinton, the Democratic frontrunner, is being investigated by the FBI for an email scandal that took place when she was Secretary of State. The FBI has been at it for some time and this is not good for Clinton or the Democratic Party. Just as Democrats agreed with Cruz’s attacks against Trump, Republicans can appreciate any comments made by Sanders supporters about the Hillary scandal. If Hillary gets indicted at any time before the Democratic convention, she may be toast and Sanders will be there to claim the nomination.

After today Sanders should stay in, Cruz should step out.

Trump Will Win Republican Nomination for President on June 7th (He could lose 8 of 10 Remaining States and Still Win Nomination)

After sweeping six primaries on the East Coast the past two weeks (New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania), Donald Trump has accumulated 996 delegates in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination and now only needs 241 delegates to win the nomination.

Delegate Count 5-1 AP

Senator Ted Cruz currently shows with 565 delegates and there are only 571 delegates remaining. Cruz needs 672 delegates to win the nomination and therefore as noted previously is mathematically eliminated from the race.

Based on current delegate counts Trump could win all 199 of the delegates in the primaries between now and June 7th and will still not have enough delegates to win the nomination before this date. Trump has a tremendous amount of momentum and will win most, if not all of these delegates.  Then with 303 delegates to be distributed on June 7th, it is very clear that Donald Trump will win the nomination outright on that date.

Delegate Count 5-1 Chart

 

 As previously noted –

Trump could lose 8 of the 10 remaining states (Indiana, Nebraska, West Virginia, Oregon, Washington, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota) and still win the nomination with wins in New Jersey and California and good showings in the primaries that award delegates proportionally.  (See example below)

Delegate Count 5-1 Chart Cruz winning 8

 

Senator Cruz should very much consider suspending his campaign after Tuesday’s Indiana primary.

 

 

Eliminated Ted’s Announcement of Fiorina a Major ‘Waste of Time’ – No Guarantee She Would be His VP after Convention

Republican Presidential candidate Ted Cruz made news this week. He lost the five state primaries in the East (Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania) on Tuesday as Donald Trump won all the counties in the all the states with primaries. This was after Trump had a major win the week before in New York where he walked away with nearly all the delegates there.

On Tuesday, as a result of the elections, Cruz was mathematically eliminated from the race.   Cruz ended Tuesday needing more delegates than are available.  Then on Wednesday after this shellacking, Cruz announced that he had picked his Vice Presidential candidate in Carly Fiorina.

Here is where, according to Alternet, the bad news begins for Cruz and Fiorina. Cruz’s only way to win the nomination at the Republican convention in July is through a vote by delegates since there is no way he can win the election outright as of Tuesday.  If Donald Trump does not win the number of delegates required to win the nomination outright before the convention (1,237), then Cruz hopes to win the nomination by persuading delegates to vote for the candidate with less votes and delegates, Cruz. However, if this scenario does happen, then the convention would also vote for the Vice Presidential candidate as well, and there is no guarantee that Fiorina would be voted his Vice Presidential candidate. She would be have to be nominated, voted for and elected to the Vice President position, by the delegates over other possible candidates. 

Alternet noted that the convention rules for electing a VP were discussed by FOX News’ Gretchen Carlson earlier this month.


Donald Trump called the announcement of Fiorina as VP ‘a waste of time’, but he really didn’t know what a waste of time it was.  There is no guarantee that if Cruz was elected President in some special ballots at the convention (the only way he can win the nomination) that Fiorina would even be his eventual running mate.

Fortunately for Cruz, Trump could lose 8 of the 10 remaining states (Indiana, Nebraska, West Virginia, Oregon, Washington, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota) and yet still win the nomination with wins in New Jersey and California and good showings in the primaries that award delegates proportionally. 

Trump’s win will save Cruz and Fiorina a major embarrassment.

 

Trump Could Lose 8 of the 10 Remaining Primaries and Still Reach 1237 by June 6th

Also posted by Jim Hoft at www.thegatewaypundit.com

After sweeping all five primaries that occurred this past week (Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania) Trump has a total of 994 delegates.

Delegate Count 4-29 AP

Cruz currently shows with 566 delegates and there are only 572 delegates remaining. Cruz needs 671 delegates to win the nomination and therefore he is mathematically eliminated from the race.

However, Trump will win the nomination on June 7th –

Based on current delegate counts Trump could win all the delegates in the elections between now and June 7th and will still not have quite enough to win the nomination before this date. Trump has a tremendous amount of momentum and will win most, if not all of these delegates.  Trump will win the nomination outright on June 7th.

Delegate Count 4-29 Trump wins June 7th

 

Trump could lose 8 of the 10 remaining states (Indiana, Nebraska, West Virginia, Oregon, Washington, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota) and yet still win the nomination with wins in New Jersey and California and good showings in the primaries that award delegates proportionally. Because of this, it is very clear that Trump will win the nomination on June 7th.

 

As previously noted –

 

** Trump leads all Republican candidates with 994 delegates and has more delegates than all the other Republican candidates combined.

** Trump now leads all Republican and Democratic candidates with 23 primary wins (Cruz has 4 while Hillary has 21).

** Trump leads all candidates in states won – 26 – now more than half of the US.

** Trump needs only 42% of the remaining outstanding delegates to win the nomination

 

We would also predict that Carly Fiorina will serve as the shortest termed Vice Presidential candidate in US history but it is highly unlikely that Cruz will resign from the campaign, even after an Indiana loss, until June 7th.

 

Hat tip Jim Hoft

 

Moving Forward=> DONALD TRUMP Only Needs 43% of Remaining Delegates to Win Nomination

Moving Forward=> DONALD TRUMP Only Needs 43% of Remaining Delegates to Win Nomination

Also posted by Jim Hoft at www.thegatewaypundit.com

After sweeping all five primaries that occurred Tuesday – Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania – Donald Trump has 987 delegates, Cruz has 562 with 622 remaining.

Delegate count 4-28

Ted Cruz was mathematically eliminated on Tuesday night.

There are fewer delegates remaining than we originally projected because the delegates in Wyoming, Colorado and North Dakota were allocated in corrupt voter-less elections. But our April 2nd projections for Trump and Cruz were very, very close.

Trump was awarded another 40 Pennsylvania delegates on Wednesday which brings his total to 987.

Donald Trump only needs 250 more delegates to secure the Republican nomination.

Delegate Count 4-28 - chart

Chart by Joe Hoft

Overall for Trump –

** Donald Trump won every county in every state on Tuesday.

** Donald Trump only needs to win 43% of the remaining delegates to secure the GOP nomination.

** Trump leads all Republican candidates with 987 delegates and has more delegates than all the other Republican candidates combined.

** Trump now leads all Republican and Democratic candidates with 23 primary wins (Cruz has 4 while Hillary has 21).

** Trump leads all candidates in states won – 26 (primaries and caucuses) – now more than half of the states and territories.

 

Trump Doing Better than Hillary – Sanders and Cruz EliminaTED

As we predicted previously, as of Tuesday night, April 26th Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders are officially eliminated from winning their respective nominations outright.

After sweeping all five primaries that occurred today (Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania) Donald Trump has 950 delegates, Cruz has 560 with 622 remaining. Our April 2nd projections for Trump and Cruz were overall very close to where they are today.

Of Trump, Cruz, Sanders and Hillary –

** Trump leads with 23 primary wins

** Trump leads in states won with 26

** Trump has the highest percentage of primary wins (85%)

** Trump has the highest percent of overall state wins (68%)

** Trump has the highest percent of primary delegates (71%)

** Trump has the highest percent of overall delegates (63%)

** And Trump leads with the highest percent of overall votes (59%)

Delegate Count 4-26 Rep and Dem 

 

Charts by Joe Hoft (data from RealClearPolitics)

(Note although not noted at RealClearPolitics.com caucus wins for Cruz in Colorado, Wyoming and North Dakota, Sanders in Maine, Alaska and Washington and Hillary in Iowa and Nevada were added to these results. These states show no winners currently in the RCP data. If these caucus wins were not added to the data, Trump would be even further ahead in the areas mentioned above.)

Overall Trump continues to outshine all the candidates while competing against 16 primary opponents.

To date, the Democratic race has been tighter than the Republican race based on wins and delegates. (However, the Democrats also have super delegates which are highly in Hillary’s favor at 519 to 39 for Sanders which are not included in these totals.)

Hillary lost Rhode Island yesterday to Socialist Sanders. Some pundits are calling for Bernie to step out of the race, but he is actually doing much better than Ted Cruz on the Republican side with more wins, votes and delegates.

 

Trump Needs only 46% of Remaining Outstanding Delegates to Win Nomination – Cruz Officially EliminaTED

As we predicted and posted on April 2nd, as of today April 26th Ted Cruz is officially eliminated from winning the Republican nomination outright.

Our overall projections on April 2nd were very close to the actual results.  We predicted on April 2nd that Trump would have 953 delegates as of today (needing only 284 delegates for the nomination) and that Cruz would have 550 delegates as of today (needing 687 to win the nomination). We also predicted that only 634 delegates would remain as of today and therefore Cruz would need more delegates than would be available.

After sweeping all five primaries that occurred today (Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania) Trump has 950 delegates, Cruz has 560 with 622 remaining. There are fewer delegates remaining than we originally projected because the delegates in Wyoming, Colorado and North Dakota were allocated in corrupt voter less elections after April 2nd. But our April 2nd projections for Trump and Cruz were overall very close.

Overall for Trump –

** Trump leads all Republican candidates with 950 delegates and has more delegates than all the other Republican candidates combined.

** Trump now leads all Republican and Democratic candidates with 23 primary wins (Cruz has 4 while Hillary has 21).

** Trump leads all candidates in states won – 26 – now more than half of the US.

** Per data from thegreenpapers.com Trump is the only Republican candidate to have held 66% of the delegates awarded at one time during this campaign (after the South Carolina win).

** For that matter, Trump is the only Republican candidate to have held more than 35% of the delegates awarded at any one time.

** Trump has held more than 40% of the delegates awarded at any given time since the South Carolina win.

** Trump currently holds 50% of the delegates awarded to date and needs only 46% of the remaining outstanding delegates to win the nomination

Delegate Count 4-26 after East Coast Sweep

 

 

From this day forward it is going to be very difficult, if not impossible, for the Cruz campaign to try and convince voters that they are staying in the race to win the election. The Cruz campaign has a difficult case to make in that Cruz has the same legitimacy to the nomination as Trump now that Trump has 23 primary wins to Cruz’s 4!

From this point forward the momentum is with Trump, he has moved from the frontrunner to the presumptive GOP nominee. Cruz and Kasich would be smart to put their individual aspirations aside and begin helping the GOP to beat Hillary. The unification of the party is now on them.