North Korea Jamming GPS Far More Serious Than Being Reported

N Korea Leader

It was reported earlier this week that North Korea has been jamming GPS signals near its border but what wasn’t told is the severity of this issue.

Per FOX News

North Korea is jamming GPS devices in South Korea, affecting hundreds of passenger jets, commuters, Uber drivers and commercial fishing boats while raising alarm bells in the Pentagon, multiple defense officials confirmed to Fox News Wednesday.

As reported by FOX, this is in retaliation to the military drills being performed near its border by the US and South Korea.

Popular Mechanics reported this week that North Korea is jamming signals and the disruptions that affect the Global Positioning System (GPS) are affecting air and naval traffic near the demilitarized zone that separates North and South Korea. Popular Mechanics also notes that the Incheon International Airport—which serves the greater Seoul metropolitan area— is affected and it serviced nearly 50 million passengers in 2015, making it one of the busiest airports in the world.

Per Popular Mechanics – South Korean officials stress that the attacks haven’t led to any serious GPS disruptions, as aircraft can also use the older Inertial Navigation System (INS). INS doesn’t rely on outside signals and is jam-proof.

However, North Korea’s GPS jamming goes much further than is being reported and it is much more dangerous as well. Per a Captain from a large commercial airline (who chooses to remain anonymous), authorities are not sure if the North Koreans are only jamming the signal or are also ‘dragging it off’ which would cause a ‘map shift’ that would cause the GPS system to show a location different than actual. If this were to occur while an airliner was using GPS, the airliner could land up to 3 miles off target or incur dangerous situations with high ground.

Pilots flying anywhere near Korea, including Japan, are warned of this situation. When GPS goes out, the pilots are forced to use older systems that are not as accurate. This is happening at the worst possible time – at the critical moment just before landing. This is not only a ‘nuisance problem’ but also has serious ‘flight safety implications’. Commercial pilots in the area are now being warned of these implications.

 

Cruz Supporter Agrees – Cruz Cannot Win Outright Come April 26th

Also posted at www.thegatewaypundit.com

Delegate count 4-7

Pro Cruz supporter and Conservative Review writer Robert Eno agrees that Cruz will be knocked out of race by April 26th.  But overall he lets his bias for Cruz overtake good judgment.  In rebutting my projection details he ultimately agrees that Cruz will need more delegates than are available in the Republican Presidential race come April 26th.

Eno agrees and states “Hoft got that right”.

By agreeing, you would expect this Cruz supporter to ask Canadian-born Cruz to get out of the race in the same fashion that Cruz scolded Governor John Kasich to do the same when it was clear Kasich had no chance of gaining enough delegates to win the election (i.e. needing more delegates than are available).  Eno does not go there.  Instead, he argues through a series of misguided projections that Cruz still has a chance??!??

Eno argues that Cruz will take a third of the delegates in New York by agreeing with my conservative estimate saying “Hoft is probably most correct in his New York analysis”. However, he doesn’t accept this as conservative estimate but rather projects this is the norm.  He argues that Cruz will do well in New York but based on yesterday’s miniscule turnout for Cruz in the Bronx and Trump’s massive turnout and poll numbers greater than 50% pro-Trump, it looks like Trump will easily win more than 60 delegates in New York.

Eno goes on to estimate Cruz wins in nearly every other state. He estimates a Cruz win in delegates in Pennsylvania where Trump is up 20+%, with Trump barely winning the rest of the primaries. By being so aggressive in his estimates he shows his bias.

Eno doesn’t account for a significant event like the Cruz hooker scandal making the front pages. The main reason for Trump’s eventual nomination, which Eno clearly does not consider but clearly agrees with, is that come April 26th there will no longer be enough delegates for Cruz to win outright and most Republicans will see that Cruz’s only chance to win is by stealing the election.

Republicans have had enough of sleazy politicians from either party.

 

April – Still Cruz’s Last Hurrah

As posted at www.thegatewaypundit.com

Senator Ted Cruz won Wisconsin last night but that does not change the course of the 2016 GOP primary.

Based on current delegate counts and poll numbers Ted Cruz will be mathematically unable to reach the delegate count required for him to win the Republican Presidential nomination.

Donald Trump still leads Cruz by over 200 delegates.

Even after Wisconsin Ted Cruz will not have enough delegates to win the election.

Delegate count 4-7

By the end April it will be clear that Ted Cruz has no chance of reaching the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination.

Actually, in only 3 weeks, on April 26th, it will be clear that Ted Cruz cannot win.

Delegate count detail through NY 4-7

 

This is in part because New York is leaning heavily towards Trump who leads according to polls listed at Real Clear Politics by as much as 36%. New York has a Republican primary where the delegates are split proportionally. So even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates, it won’t be enough. This is because come April 26th, there are five Republican Presidential primaries and three of these are winner take all (WTA). All three of these states are in the East where polls show Trump leading (Maryland and Pennsylvania) or there is no polling available with the state highly likely leaning towards Trump (Delaware).

Even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates in Rhode Island or Connecticut or any of these states, it will not be enough to keep him mathematically in the race.

Based on current numbers, come April 26th, Cruz will need 640 delegates to win the election but only 621 will be available.

Then Cruz’s only chance at the end of April to win the election is the highly unlikely scenario where Trump doesn’t gain enough delegates to win the nomination outright and that the Republican elites in a contested convention support Cruz.

Delegate count detail through June

Even if there were a contested convention, it is unlikely that the elites would offer the Presidency to Cruz over some other establishment candidate. The only other scenario is that Cruz hangs on and takes the candidate delegates from Kasich and Rubio for example, and hopes this is enough to overtake Trump. This, too, is a far out strategy.

** Cruz may have a chance in picking up the RNC superdelegates but if these GOP party elites all vote for Cruz they can expect a revolt like they’ve never seen.

If Cruz hangs on and doesn’t concede to Trump at the end of April, like Kasich is currently doing, Cruz comes across as unrealistic, out of touch and a sore loser.

 

April – Cruz’s Last Hurrah!

Based on current delegate counts and poll numbers Ted Cruz will be mathematically unable to reach the delegate count required for him to win the Republican Presidential nomination by the end of April. Actually in only 3 weeks, on April 26th, Cruz will be no longer able to win enough delegates to win the Republican nomination.

 

Rep Del Count 4-3(chart from Google)

Currently Cruz has only 463 delegates. Even if Cruz wins Wisconsin, which is a state whose delegates are winner take most (WTM), he still will not have enough delegates to win the election by April 26th. This is in part because New York is leaning heavily towards Trump who leads according to polls listed at Real Clear Politics by as much as 36%. New York has a Republican primary where the delegates are split proportionally. So even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates, it won’t be enough. This is because come April 26th, there are five Republican Presidential primaries and three of these are winner take all (WTA). All three of these states are in the East where polls show Trump leading (Maryland and Pennsylvania) or there is no polling available with the state highly likely leaning towards Trump (Delaware). Even if Cruz wins a third of the delegates in Rhode Island or Connecticut or any of these states, it will not be enough to keep him mathematically in the race.

Rep Del Count April 16 Project

(Chart by Joe Hoft)

Based on the current picture, come April 26th, Cruz will need 687 delegates to win the election but only have 634. Then Cruz’s only chance at the end of April to win the election is the highly unlikely scenario where Trump doesn’t gain enough delegates to win the nomination outright and that the Republican elites in a contested convention support Cruz. Even if there were a contested convention, it is unlikely that the elites would offer the Presidency to Cruz over some other establishment candidate. The only other scenario is that Cruz hangs on and takes other candidate delegates from Kasich and Rubio for example, and hopes this is enough to overtake Trump. This too is a far out strategy.

If Cruz hangs on and doesn’t concede to Trump at the end of April, like Kasich is currently doing, Cruz comes across as unrealistic, out of touch and a sore loser.

Overall based on the numbers, because it is highly unlikely East Coast Republicans will vote for a Canadian- born Texan for President over a New York billionaire, April will be Cruz’s last hurrah.

 

 

Reagan’s Recovery at least Three times better than Obama’s Socialist Solution

On April 29th 2015 Jim Hoft shared that Obama’s just like Reagan… Except when he isn’t.

Obama Reagan on Time

Trickle Down Economics versus Trickle Down Socialism

As noted last year – Barack Obama’s economic policies have slowed the economy to a halt when compared with Reagan’s economic recovery. Here is an update with 2015 year end data showing Annual GDP Growth comparisons:

Yr 7 GDP % Change

(Chart by Joe Hoft)

Per updated data reported by the US Dept of Commerce – Bureau of Economic Analysis as of January 29, 2016, the average annual GDP growth rate for Obama in his first 7 years in office is a dismal 2.9%. Reagan’s recovery on the other hand averaged a 7.9% annual GDP growth rate for his first 7 years in office. Reagan’s policies led to an average annual increase in GDP of nearly 3 times that of Obama’s policies.

In addition, as noted last year, Obama’s job growth is also much worse than Reagan’s record with more people being added to food-stamp rolls than the job rolls under Obama.

More… The Obama Economic Record: The Worst Five Years Since World War II

 

The Monkey Has No More Bananas

In the Year of the Monkey, China May Finally Have to Face its Toxic Loans

Year of Monkey

(Picture of Year of Monkey Display at Hong Kong International Airport by Joe Hoft)

 In the next few days, China’s year of the Sheep (Ram or Goat) will come to an end and the year of the Monkey will arrive.  This is the biggest holiday in China as millions of Chinese travel across the country back to their home towns in a celebration somewhat reminiscent of Thanksgiving in the States.  The entire country celebrates the coming year with a week-long celebration.  Families and friends gather and fireworks are fired off in the mornings to bring in the New Year.

This year may be different though for China and the world because as the New York Times states “Beneath the surface of the global financial system lurks a multitrillion-dollar problem that could sap the strength of large economies for years to come.”

The Times goes on to explain that in many countries, especially China, there lies a “stagnant pool of loans that companies and people around the world are struggling to pay back.”  China may have as much as $5 trillion in non-performing loans.  It’s not just China as troubled loans are plentiful worldwide.

The Times goes on to mention other countries and loans that are troubled.  However, the most troubling debt worldwide is not mentioned, and that is the massive amount of debt that the US government has outstanding which is now over $19 trillion.  Also, the cause of that debt, the social programs in the US, is not mentioned.

Yes, the Chinese monkey may not have any more bananas or tricks to pay off its bad debts but Uncle Sam has a monkey on its back of its own.  While China’s bad debt is related to bad loans to companies, many of which built buildings and roads and other projects which led to tangible assets, the debt in the US was blown on social programs and there’s nothing to show for it.

Obama Loves the Iranian Regime and the Iranian Regime Loves Obama

Since the U.S.-Iran hostage crisis of 1979 to 1981 Iran’s economy has been seriously stunted by a combination of tough economic sanctions from the U.S., Europe and the U.N. which have also frozen literally hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth of Iranian assets and oil revenues.  The sanctions on Iran have had a material impact.  Before the sanctions the US imported around $3.3 billion from Iran in current USD.  By lifting the sanctions on Iran, the world’s number one sponsor of terrorism will reap incredible benefits worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

Iran’s GDP decreased and stalled in the mid 1980’s through the early 2000’s per data from the World Bank noted below – (chart by Joe Hoft)

Iran GDP

Then in the early 2000’s Iran’s GDP increased as its exports increased.  The countries Iran exports to the most are China, Japan and Turkey.  (China’s increasing demand for oil and other natural resources was beneficial to Iran because China was not afraid to deal with rogue nations like Iran.)

The recent decline in the world and China’s economy has led to the decline in Iran’s exports and GDP.  By lifting sanctions with Iran, Obama provides Iran relief at the time when it needs it the most.

Iran Exports

Why the US is negotiating with Iran in the first place is the real question.  Iran is responsible for more than 1,000 US soldier deaths since 911.  Iran was known for giving Taliban fighters $1,000 rewards for every US soldier they killed in Afghanistan.  US officials in Iraq knew that Iran was behind the deaths of soldiers there.  Obama is now giving this murderous nation economic relief.

If the Iran deal wasn’t so horrible it would be laughable. 

Kerry Iranian Dealmaker

Lurch and Uncle Fester – The buffoons leading Obama’s charge to lift economic sanctions with Iran – Secretary of State John Kerry and Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz with Iranian counterparts.

Today the Iranian president is in Europe signing new deals worth billions of dollars to the Iranian regime.  At the same time the mullahs continue to threaten the US, Middle East and Israel.  Their behavior has not changed.  Obama’s deal with Iran will likely go down as one of the greatest foreign policy errors in global history.  We will soon find out.

 

Good Bye Glenn Frey

Today more sad news from the music industry – Eagles guitarist Glenn Frey has died at the age of 67. Frey co-founded the Eagles in 1971. The band was one of the most successful of all time with numerous hits from Frey and his fellow band member Don Henley. Joe Walsh and Timothy B. Schmidt.

“Frey emerged as one of the band’s chief songwriters, the Lennon to Don Henley’s McCartney. He penned their breakout hit Take It Easy – a song as laid back as its title suggests – with Jackson Browne.”

Thank you Glenn for the great music and memories.

Obama Increases Deficit $1 Trillion a Year

As posted by Jim Hoft at www.thegatewaypundit.com on Sunday, December 20, 2015

Guest post by Joe Hoft

spending chart

US Federal Budget History

Since Obama has taken over federal spending has skyrocketed. The outlook is not good either, because as interest rates rise the amount of federal money needed to pay just the interest on the federal debt will increase incrementally.

According to the Congressional Budget Office, when Obama took over the amount of US federal spending was less than $3 trillion a year. Since Obama, spending has never been less than $3.4 trillion a year and the federal deficits have exceeded more than $1 trillion during Obama’s first 4 years alone. As a matter of fact, Obama’s deficits his first 4 years totalled more than $6 trillion which makes it a sure bet that Obama will average more than $1 trillion a year in deficits while he is in office.

Deficits

Usgovtspending.com

Obama can be proud to have set the world record for overseeing the largest federal budget ever. He is also world record holder for largest deficits ever,with each of his year’s deficits being more than any president ever.

With interest rates rising, baby boomers retiring and more unskilled illegal and legal immigrants being allowed into the country than ever before, Obama has left a mess for the next President and all future generations to come.

(And this does not even include the trillions in unfunded government promises not even counted in these numbers.)

 

 

The Middle Class Overwhelmingly Votes Republican – And These Middle Class Voters Support Trump

Posted by Jim Hoft on December 9th, 2015 8:29 am at www.thegatewaypundit.com

trump crowd

Guest post by Joe Hoft

According to US Census statistics the Republican Party is overwhelmingly the party of the middle class.

The Democratic Party on the other hand overwhelmingly represents the very rich and the poorest districts in America. Democrats represent 14 of the richest 20 congressional districts in the US. Democrats represent 36 of the poorest 39 districts in the US. They rely on poor voters and liberal elites to put them in office.

The Republican Party, on the other hand, represents the middle class by a 2 to 1 ratio when compared with the Democratic party.

When Barack Obama came into office white-leaning districts split between the parties almost equally during the 111th Congress, in 2009-10.

Today Republicans hold a 3-1 advantage in working class white districts. Punitive Democratic policies have pushed working class Americans to the GOP.

Today the working middle class is the base of the Republican Party.

Last weekend Wall Street Journal published an article reporting that “Donald Trump has built his leading position in the Republican primary race by bringing together an underappreciated segment of the party, the blue-collar base.

Donald Trump has built his leading position in the Republican primary race by bringing together an underappreciated segment of the GOP—blue-collar voters who aren’t especially animated by social issues—and who may be setting the stage for an unusual, three-person sprint to the nomination.

Mr. Trump’s appeal is a form of secular populism rarely seen in Republican primary races, and one he is pressing in part with appearances in working-class communities in Iowa that include independent voters and even Democrats who may be lured into the caucuses. The celebrity businessman’s message appears to resonate among voters who believe most strongly that political leaders are unable to put the nation back on track.

The WSJ notes that Trump’s backers tend to be more working class than upper income which should come as no surprise to the Republican Party. Trump represents the GOP base.

The heart of the Republican Party – the working class – supports Trump. Isn’t it about time the GOP elites listen to their base?