Also posted at www.thegatewaypundit.com
Pro Cruz supporter and Conservative Review writer Robert Eno agrees that Cruz will be knocked out of race by April 26th. But overall he lets his bias for Cruz overtake good judgment. In rebutting my projection details he ultimately agrees that Cruz will need more delegates than are available in the Republican Presidential race come April 26th.
Eno agrees and states “Hoft got that right”.
By agreeing, you would expect this Cruz supporter to ask Canadian-born Cruz to get out of the race in the same fashion that Cruz scolded Governor John Kasich to do the same when it was clear Kasich had no chance of gaining enough delegates to win the election (i.e. needing more delegates than are available). Eno does not go there. Instead, he argues through a series of misguided projections that Cruz still has a chance??!??
Eno argues that Cruz will take a third of the delegates in New York by agreeing with my conservative estimate saying “Hoft is probably most correct in his New York analysis”. However, he doesn’t accept this as conservative estimate but rather projects this is the norm. He argues that Cruz will do well in New York but based on yesterday’s miniscule turnout for Cruz in the Bronx and Trump’s massive turnout and poll numbers greater than 50% pro-Trump, it looks like Trump will easily win more than 60 delegates in New York.
Eno goes on to estimate Cruz wins in nearly every other state. He estimates a Cruz win in delegates in Pennsylvania where Trump is up 20+%, with Trump barely winning the rest of the primaries. By being so aggressive in his estimates he shows his bias.
Eno doesn’t account for a significant event like the Cruz hooker scandal making the front pages. The main reason for Trump’s eventual nomination, which Eno clearly does not consider but clearly agrees with, is that come April 26th there will no longer be enough delegates for Cruz to win outright and most Republicans will see that Cruz’s only chance to win is by stealing the election.
Republicans have had enough of sleazy politicians from either party.