As we face today’s Indiana’s primary election, both Bernie Sanders and Ted Cruz are staying in the Presidential race for their respective party nominations but really only Sanders has a legitimate reason to stay in. When looking at numbers from Real Clear Politics going into today’s primary, Sanders has won 17 states, including Rhode Island last week to Hillary Clinton’s 23 states. Cruz has only won 12 states and only 4 primaries compared to Donald Trump’s 26 states and 23 primaries. Also, Cruz hasn’t won a primary since Wisconsin a month ago.
(Note although not noted at RealClearPolitics.com caucus wins for Cruz in Colorado, Wyoming and North Dakota, Sanders in Maine, Alaska and Washington and Hillary in Iowa and Nevada were added to these results. These states show no winners currently in the RCP data. If these caucus wins were not added to the data, Trump would be even further ahead in the areas mentioned above. Also, the above data does not include Democratic super delegate votes which are highly in Hillary’s favor at 520 to 39 for Sanders.)
To date, the Democratic race between Sanders and Hillary Clinton has been tighter than the Republican race between Cruz and Trump based on wins, delegates and votes.
Cruz has said that Donald Trump will not reach the 1,237 delegates needed to win the Republican nomination, but Trump is up in the polls in Indiana with a RCP average of 11%. With Trump winning the past 6 states and Indiana today, Cruz’s case is very weak and he should consider stepping out of the race.
On the other hand, Sanders has every reason to stay in the race with Hillary Clinton up only 6.8% in Indiana and the gap closing. But more importantly, Clinton, the Democratic frontrunner, is being investigated by the FBI for an email scandal that took place when she was Secretary of State. The FBI has been at it for some time and this is not good for Clinton or the Democratic Party. Just as Democrats agreed with Cruz’s attacks against Trump, Republicans can appreciate any comments made by Sanders supporters about the Hillary scandal. If Hillary gets indicted at any time before the Democratic convention, she may be toast and Sanders will be there to claim the nomination.
After today Sanders should stay in, Cruz should step out.